Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.206451 0.240377 0.277525 0.321140 0.370860 0.425686 0.490632
2026-01-18 0.151358 0.197837 0.254092 0.326789 0.417796 0.527472 0.669116
2026-01-25 0.118551 0.169244 0.235417 0.327233 0.450286 0.608323 0.825253
2026-02-01 0.095387 0.146749 0.218189 0.323332 0.472327 0.673763 0.964049
2026-02-08 0.078290 0.128777 0.203068 0.318209 0.489451 0.731389 1.094754
2026-02-15 0.063659 0.111510 0.185722 0.306366 0.493903 0.769644 1.199444
2026-02-22 0.058132 0.107410 0.187299 0.322456 0.540381 0.871464 1.403383
2026-03-01 0.048903 0.095506 0.174591 0.313961 0.547171 0.913348 1.519735
2026-03-08 0.040953 0.084425 0.161542 0.302881 0.547906 0.944833 1.621141
2026-03-15 0.035056 0.076079 0.151961 0.296242 0.554727 0.985696 1.739458
2026-03-22 0.031701 0.072051 0.149533 0.301737 0.582432 1.062383 1.921154
2026-03-29 0.029641 0.070281 0.151024 0.314384 0.623605 1.164395 2.151850
2026-04-05 0.027075 0.067127 0.149598 0.321666 0.656287 1.255266 2.371978
2026-04-12 0.024344 0.063173 0.146084 0.324523 0.681061 1.334254 2.577486
2026-04-19 0.021730 0.059012 0.141540 0.324670 0.700410 1.404513 2.771783
2026-04-26 0.019135 0.054422 0.135424 0.320766 0.711233 1.459516 2.941641
2026-05-03 0.016800 0.050037 0.129135 0.315676 0.718982 1.508940 3.103990
2026-05-10 0.014350 0.044871 0.120309 0.303919 0.711689 1.528592 3.210944
2026-05-17 0.013844 0.044859 0.123664 0.319893 0.764197 1.668782 3.558172
2026-05-24 0.012046 0.040880 0.116798 0.311459 0.763229 1.702102 3.698479
2026-05-31 0.010358 0.036868 0.109251 0.300459 0.755428 1.720687 3.810267
2026-06-07 0.009085 0.033839 0.103800 0.293868 0.756818 1.758112 3.962072
2026-06-14 0.008445 0.032683 0.103202 0.299323 0.786386 1.856758 4.245329